Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
25.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 1
LAZ
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
REG
3 - 1
LAZ
53%
29%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
CES
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SAM
2 - 1
GEN
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |