Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
TOR
4 - 1
LAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
26%
23%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
BRE
0 - 0
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
GEN
3 - 1
USF
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |