Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
PRO
1 - 1
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 0
LAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SAL
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
USA
0 - 0
GEN
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
GEN
3 - 1
ACM
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
JUV
2 - 1
GEN
79%
13%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
NAP
3 - 0
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |