Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
LAZ
3 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
LAZ
1 - 1
LEO
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
ACM
4 - 2
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
USA
3 - 1
GEN
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 1
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
GEN
0 - 1
TRI
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |