Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
LAZ
2 - 0
TRI
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 1
LAZ
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 2
PRO
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
JUV
2 - 1
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
17%
20%
62%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |