Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
LAZ
3 - 2
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
LEO
3 - 0
LAZ
36%
22%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
GEN
9%
15%
76%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GEN
0 - 3
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
MOD
4 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |