Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
BOL
3 - 2
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
LEO
3 - 1
LAZ
33%
22%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
LAZ
3 - 1
LIV
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEO
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 1
GEN
22%
21%
57%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
GEN
1 - 4
INT
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
JUV
0 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |