Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-1
Lazio vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
JUV
1 - 2
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
LAZ
1 - 4
FIO
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1998 |
INT
3 - 0
LAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 0
LAZ
21%
26%
54%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
NAP
1 - 2
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
TRE
2 - 2
COS
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
COS
1 - 1
TRE
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
USF
3 - 2
COS
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
COS
0 - 0
USF
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |