Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
MES
3 - 4
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CAM
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LIC
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
PES
2 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ANC
0 - 1
FIO
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
FIO
3 - 0
ALZ
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
PIS
4 - 2
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
FIO
1 - 0
AVE
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |