Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAZ
37%
29%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
LAZ
0 - 0
AVE
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
FIO
1 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
FIO
1 - 2
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ASC
2 - 1
FIO
42%
29%
30%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |