Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
NAP
4 - 3
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
USF
3 - 1
LAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 3
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
PES
1 - 0
LAZ
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
FIO
2 - 2
ATL
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 0
FIO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
49%
27%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |