Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
LAZ
7 - 2
USA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
VER
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAZ
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
ATM
3 - 0
FIO
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 1
FIO
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
MAN
4 - 1
FIO
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
UJP
0 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |