Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
LAZ
2 - 0
COM
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
TOR
2 - 0
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
FIO
2 - 2
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 2
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
FIO
1 - 0
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |