Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAZ
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SAL
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
FIO
4 - 0
SAL
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 0
BAR
69%
16%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
ANC
0 - 1
FIO
25%
22%
53%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
FIO
3 - 1
PES
83%
11%
7%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 1
FIO
35%
22%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |