Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
1 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
JUV
2 - 4
LAZ
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LIV
64%
18%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
INT
4 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 3
TOR
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
2 - 2
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |