Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
LEO
1 - 0
LAZ
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
LAZ
1 - 4
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
LAZ
5 - 3
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
USA
1 - 2
LAZ
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
FIO
4 - 0
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
SAM
0 - 1
FIO
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
FIO
3 - 2
NAP
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
BRE
1 - 1
FIO
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |