Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
BOL
4 - 1
LAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ACM
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRO
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 3
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 0
LEO
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
FIO
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
16%
18%
66%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |