Lazio vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SSS
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 1
NAP
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 1
COM
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |