Lazio vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
5 - 1
LAZ
82%
11%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
VNZ
0 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
USA
4 - 0
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
COM
1 - 0
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |