Lazio vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
LAZ
3 - 0
MED
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ACM
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
27%
43%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
REG
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
LEC
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOR
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MES
0 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
UDI
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |