Lazio vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 2
LAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 0
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 3
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
29%
27%
43%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CAT
2 - 5
INT
14%
24%
62%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 1
FIO
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MES
1 - 1
CAT
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 2
PAL
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |