Lazio vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
LAZ
3 - 3
JUV
17%
26%
58%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
LAZ
0 - 1
AVE
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
VER
1 - 0
LAZ
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
LAZ
0 - 3
SAM
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
CAT
0 - 0
BAR
45%
30%
25%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAT
60%
26%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 1
TRI
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAT
50%
29%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |