Lazio vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
VER
1 - 1
LAZ
30%
35%
35%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAL
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
LAZ
3 - 0
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
LAZ
2 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
37%
34%
29%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
RIM
0 - 0
CAT
52%
30%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CAT
2 - 3
PAL
34%
31%
36%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
AVE
4 - 1
CAT
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAT
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |