Lazio vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
PRO
3 - 1
LAZ
28%
21%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TOR
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOD
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
2 - 3
TRI
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |