Lazio vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
25%
28%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TRE
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
LAZ
1 - 0
USC
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
PIA
2 - 3
LAZ
34%
28%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
GEN
1 - 2
LAZ
42%
26%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
PAD
2 - 0
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
PAD
0 - 0
USF
21%
25%
55%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
FIO
4 - 1
PAD
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
PAD
2 - 0
ACM
17%
27%
56%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
NAP
3 - 3
PAD
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |