Lazio vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 4
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 2
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 2
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 1
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
BAR
5 - 2
PAD
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 0
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |