Lazio vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
BRE
3 - 2
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
LAZ
6 - 0
USC
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
MOD
0 - 0
LAZ
19%
19%
62%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
LEO
5 - 1
PAD
65%
18%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
GEN
8 - 0
PAD
86%
9%
5%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
PAD
2 - 3
BOL
14%
17%
69%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
INT
6 - 1
PAD
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
PAD
3 - 1
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |