Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LEV
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
LAZ
61%
21%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
M05
3 - 0
LAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
AND
3 - 1
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 4
LAZ
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAV
69%
21%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 2
SPE
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 1
PES
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 3
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |