Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
TAR
1 - 1
LAZ
29%
33%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VIC
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CES
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
22%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
LAZ
0 - 1
SAM
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
TOR
3 - 2
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1981 |
BOL
2 - 2
TOR
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
COM
2 - 1
BOL
36%
33%
31%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BOL
0 - 0
AVE
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
FCC
2 - 2
BOL
44%
31%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |