Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 0
LAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
NAP
4 - 3
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
3 - 2
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
58%
26%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |