Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
BRE
1 - 0
LAZ
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
30%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
14%
24%
62%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
LAZ
0 - 0
VIC
32%
29%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
CAG
1 - 0
LAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
BOL
0 - 0
VNZ
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
BOL
2 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
BOL
3 - 2
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |