Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1964 |
INT
1 - 0
LAZ
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 0
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ATL
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 0
LAZ
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
MES
0 - 2
BOL
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUV
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAN
76%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 3
BOL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |