Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 0
USA
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
LAZ
0 - 0
GEN
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
PAD
2 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
BOL
0 - 3
ACM
40%
24%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
BOL
4 - 1
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
UDI
1 - 0
BOL
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |