Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1948 |
BAR
2 - 1
LAZ
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
LAZ
4 - 1
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
TOR
4 - 3
LAZ
91%
6%
3%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ATL
5 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TRI
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 3
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
FIO
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |