Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 3
LAZ
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 2
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
INT
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |