Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
ACM
5 - 3
LAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 5
LAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
BOL
4 - 0
USA
74%
16%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BOL
5 - 1
NOV
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |