Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Lazio vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
WIS
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
25%
36%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 2
LAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 3
WIS
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 1
BJK
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
BJK
3 - 4
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
BJK
7 - 3
GOZ
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2003 |
BJK
4 - 2
SLP
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
SLP
1 - 0
BJK
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |