Lazio vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LAZ
6 - 3
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
LAZ
0 - 1
INT
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
PAR
2 - 1
LAZ
49%
26%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
46%
28%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ATL
1 - 3
FIO
43%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1995 |
ATL
4 - 2
CAG
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
CAG
2 - 0
ATL
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
ATL
3 - 1
VIC
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
CAG
1 - 0
ATL
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |