Lazio vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ROM
55%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
ACM
0 - 3
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
ATL
4 - 0
BAR
60%
20%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ATL
62%
19%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |