Lazio vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
17%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
LAZ
6 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
LAZ
1 - 3
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAP
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
ACL
2 - 1
ATL
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
ACM
3 - 0
ATL
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |