Lazio vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
CAT
2 - 1
LAZ
47%
30%
24%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
VIC
2 - 0
LAZ
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
LAZ
42%
32%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
ASC
2 - 1
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
ASC
3 - 1
BRE
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
PAL
0 - 0
ASC
40%
32%
28%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
CAM
2 - 2
ASC
34%
31%
35%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |