Lazio vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
64%
19%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 0
USA
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
INT
4 - 1
BAR
73%
15%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
ASL
1 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOD
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |