Lazio vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SIE
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
PAL
0 - 1
LAZ
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
FIO
4 - 3
LAZ
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
35%
24%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 1
PES
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
SAL
1 - 0
ANC
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 0
ANC
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
ANC
0 - 3
NAP
36%
24%
41%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 2
PAL
41%
24%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |