Lazio vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SSS
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
MOD
0 - 1
LAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 4
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ACP
3 - 1
ASS
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |