Lazio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
41%
25%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 3
LAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
3 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
LAZ
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
NAP
0 - 0
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
5 - 1
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CES
3 - 1
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |