Lazio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
LAZ
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAN
55%
27%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
32%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CES
3 - 1
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 2
CES
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |