Coppa Italia Primavera Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Lazio U19 vs Juventus U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
LAZ
10%
17%
73%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 3
NAP
88%
8%
3%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 6
LAZ
7%
15%
78%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LAZ
4 - 1
PAL
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TER
0 - 2
LAZ
10%
15%
75%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRA
82%
12%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
JUV
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 3
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
JUV
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |