Lavagnese vs Castellazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SES
1 - 1
LAV
41%
29%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LAV
0 - 0
VFC
75%
15%
9%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ACQ
0 - 0
LAV
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAV
1 - 1
SET
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 2
LAV
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
BOR
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
LIG
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
FEZ
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |