LAUTP vs JaPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
77.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LAUTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 4
LAU
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
KOP
47%
22%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 2
KJP
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
LAU
18%
18%
64%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LAU
1 - 3
SCB
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KER
2 - 1
JAP
63%
20%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PK3
4 - 1
JAP
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
JAP
32%
23%
46%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 3
SAL
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 4
KLU
58%
20%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |