Lauterach vs Lochau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
13º
1º
39
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauterach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 3
LAU
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCH
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 2
LAU
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 0
AND
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 3
LAU
41%
22%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
SCG
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RTB
3 - 2
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 4
LOC
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
1 - 0
FCH
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 4
LOC
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |